Clarification of Saturday’s Column
I actually thought Saturday’s column was pretty clearly written. My analysis leads to the conclusion that Will Arnold, Lucas Frerichs and Rochelle Swanson are the favorites to win.
I did hedge my bets, as there are some undercurrents that could push the electorate in a different direction.
My comments were also apparently taken out of context.
I wrote, regarding Josh Chapman, “Josh Chapman in most years would be a clear favorite to win.”
However, I added, “he is facing a de facto incumbent in that Rochelle Swanson served eight years on the council, took two off, and is back.”
I am not talking about COVID here. I am talking about the strength of the candidate that Josh Chapman is facing.
What I am saying here is that Josh Chapman is a strong candidate, he has a good resume, and if he were facing an open field like in 2018, he would be a clear favorite to win. But the fact is, he is not facing an open field. He is facing a very strong candidate. I focused on Rochelle Swanson’s eight years on the council and all her support—but all of that embodies the fact that she has a very strong track record.
So, in fact, she is in my view the clear frontrunner.